The problem with your analysis is that those who are probably to caucus, who inflate that poll, are young voters, who Obama is relying on.
Obama is the Dean of 2008.
This is not my analysis but Newsweek. And how do you know that they will not return from college, or that he only needs a small percentage to do so? That is the anamoly that no one knows. And of course, we don't know what the Obama Campaign's plan is to get them back, do we?
Young people will not matter, because every four years we say young people will turn out in record numbers and drive so and so to victory, and every four years, they never, ever do.
Obama may grow with women, but if he's relying on kids, he's dead in the water.
Obama has a clear edge among young people, but his campaign is far from relying on them. I realize that people like to think that, but it's not true.
kerry won the youth vote in 2004. they came out in higher numbers than ever before. this myth that the youth didn't turn out was a media lie.
